Tennis · resolved market
ITF Lakewood: Bianca Jolie Fernandez vs Carolina Bohrer Martins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13c51a4401dd9524185a8a82cf2bc9e2bbdba07f958583a1784b51d8ab7e2b38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bianca Jolie Fernandezof Bianca Jolie Fernandez, Carolina Bohrer Martins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Bianca Jolie Fernandez | 56c | 356$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bianca Jolie Fernandez | 52c | 305.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Bianca Jolie Fernandez | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Carolina Bohrer Martins | 51c | 205.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Carolina Bohrer Martins | 42c | 205.93$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Bianca Jolie Fernandez | 53c | 200.47$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 252 | 57.9%146 W · 106 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Carolina Bohrer Martins | 51c | 140.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Carolina Bohrer Martins | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Carolina Bohrer Martins | 52c | 104$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Carolina Bohrer Martins | 52c | 88.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Bianca Jolie Fernandez | 35c | 86.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Carolina Bohrer Martins | 30c | 84.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Carolina Bohrer Martins | 52c | 83.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Bianca Jolie Fernandez | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Carolina Bohrer Martins | 54c | 70.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Bianca Jolie Fernandez | 48c | 66.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Carolina Bohrer Martins | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Carolina Bohrer Martins | 52c | 64.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Bianca Jolie Fernandez | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Bianca Jolie Fernandez | 49c | 44.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Carolina Bohrer Martins | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Carolina Bohrer Martins | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.