Tennis · resolved market
Centurion: Guillaume Dalmasso vs Robert Strombachs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b9f9edeea28e0faf0829fee9091991bb43fae1523e032c26d50db51e2b88cd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robert Strombachsof Guillaume Dalmasso, Robert Strombachs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Guillaume Dalmasso | 9c | 6,359$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.29 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Robert Strombachs | 80c | 2,361$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.17 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Guillaume Dalmasso | 20c | 1,995$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad5…780ebacked Guillaume Dalmasso | 20c | 502$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Robert Strombachs | 80c | 467$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Guillaume Dalmasso | 21c | 280$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Guillaume Dalmasso | 9c | 225.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Guillaume Dalmasso | 18c | 186.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Robert Strombachs | 79c | 148.52$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Guillaume Dalmasso | 8c | 145.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Guillaume Dalmasso | 19c | 144.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…4168backed Robert Strombachs | 80c | 137.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Robert Strombachs | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Robert Strombachs | 80c | 124.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Robert Strombachs | 80c | 123.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Robert Strombachs | 79c | 120.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Guillaume Dalmasso | 14c | 113.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…8568backed Guillaume Dalmasso | 21c | 97.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Robert Strombachs | 79c | 96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Robert Strombachs | 79c | 94.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Robert Strombachs | 80c | 75.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Guillaume Dalmasso | 19c | 66.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Guillaume Dalmasso | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Guillaume Dalmasso | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Guillaume Dalmasso | 21c | 47.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Robert Strombachs | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd7…e3b5backed Robert Strombachs | 80c | 25.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.