Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeb381a980a51a6174160e32a1378f0c5b7eea9dc31b698f71b85810b15cee23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xavier Musketeersof Marquette Golden Eagles, Xavier Musketeers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 3,477$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.05 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Xavier Musketeers | 48c | 2,643$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.49 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Xavier Musketeers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 381.26$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 48c | 302.18$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.76 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Xavier Musketeers | 51c | 262.04$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.1 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Xavier Musketeers | 53c | 236.54$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.62 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Xavier Musketeers | 54c | 230.6$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Xavier Musketeers | 48c | 199.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 49c | 161.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 43c | 156.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 148.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Xavier Musketeers | 48c | 140.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xavier Musketeers | 46c | 117.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Xavier Musketeers | 52c | 104.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Xavier Musketeers | 49c | 90.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Xavier Musketeers | 48c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Xavier Musketeers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Xavier Musketeers | 48c | 45.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 39c | 41.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Xavier Musketeers | 49c | 37.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Xavier Musketeers | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 46c | 29.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Xavier Musketeers | 52c | 27.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Xavier Musketeers | 49c | 23.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 22.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-4.5)Xavier Musketeers won
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden EaglesXavier Musketeers won
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 154.5Over won
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 156.5Over won
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 157.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.