NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eee916f639cfd4a2d5ca2d3e870755ffca046e86ead1a836ab913789d0284b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Wild, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Wild | 36c | 7,931$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.3 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Wild | 18c | 5,490$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.76 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…ac17backed Panthers | 64c | 4,269$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Panthers | 64c | 1,775$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Panthers | 63c | 1,717$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.98 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Panthers | 64c | 1,438$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.68 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Panthers | 62c | 1,071$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.02 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Panthers | 64c | 1,067$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.63 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wild | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Panthers | 79c | 710.65$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.08 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Wild | 37c | 591.24$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.76 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Panthers | 37c | 578.25$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.48 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Wild | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Panthers | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 55c | 399.08$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panthers | 57c | 386.24$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.31 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Panthers | 63c | 316.6$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.14 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Wild | 33c | 304.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Wild | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Wild | 38c | 270$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Wild | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Panthers | 59c | 258.45$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Wild | 35c | 255$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Panthers | 63c | 249.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Panthers | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Wild | 37c | 229.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 249 | 49.8%124 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wild | 41c | 223.94$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Panthers | 65c | 189.05$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Wild | 36c | 186.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wild | 39c | 173.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Wild | 37c | 170$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Panthers | 31c | 145$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Wild | 47c | 143$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Wild | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Wild | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Panthers | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Panthers | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Wild | 35c | 106$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Wild | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Panthers | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Panthers | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Panthers | 65c | 99.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Panthers | 62c | 95.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Wild | 35c | 82.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Panthers | 64c | 79.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Wild | 52c | 61.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Wild | 38c | 61.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Panthers | 65c | 60.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wild | 36c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Wild | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Panthers | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Panthers | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Panthers | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Panthers | 39c | 48.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Panthers | 39c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Panthers | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Panthers | 39c | 43.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Wild | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Panthers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Wild | 40c | 38.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Panthers | 66c | 36.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Panthers | 40c | 33.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Panthers | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Panthers | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Panthers | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Panthers | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Panthers | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wild | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Wild | 53c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Panthers | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Panthers | 65c | 20.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Panthers | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)this page
- Wild vs. PanthersWild won
- Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.