NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40e75e227e408270e697fac140fd39a3483d632084036e6908c0fcf691b9d7f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 59c | 5,884$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.54 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 41c | 1,925$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.72 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 41c | 1,358$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.22 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Over | 60c | 1,333$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 3c | 1,255$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 10cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 41c | 1,009$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.31 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 952.81$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.8 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 25c | 559.85$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 494.98$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.14 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 41c | 439.02$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.02 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 40c | 268$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 41c | 244$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 40c | 237.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.29 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 25c | 199.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 40c | 170$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 165.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 40c | 163$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 42c | 122.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 114.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…1df9backed Over | 44c | 110$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…3728backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 58c | 106.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 41c | 105.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 42c | 62.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…01c7backed Over | 57c | 52.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 58c | 40.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 41c | 36.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 62c | 33.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 74c | 29.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…bd66backed Under | 44c | 24.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…a049backed Over | 58c | 19.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 70c | 17.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Panthers won
- Wild vs. PanthersWild won
- Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.