NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e23f324b9113263a47246355de9362eb4c7cfdaf07c30b295d8792c642969db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a08…4badbacked Under | 54c | 5,169$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 2,741$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 46c | 2,035$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.59 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 633$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.84 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 48c | 601.29$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.88 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Under | 55c | 600.11$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.11 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 46c | 599.52$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.08 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 560$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 542$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.32 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 47c | 490.55$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.56 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 53c | 452.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.83 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Under | 55c | 249.47$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.47 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 247.35$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Over | 46c | 235.9$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.51 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 45c | 143.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 106.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 57c | 89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 79.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Over | 46c | 59.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Over | 46c | 48.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 55c | 42.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…9199backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Over | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 56c | 31.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 27.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 64c | 23.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefcb…f64abacked Under | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Under | 54c | 22.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Panthers won
- Wild vs. PanthersWild won
- Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Wild vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.