Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos 2: Daniel Rincon vs Toby Samuel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x439206d52b1301cfb1d21422d6ebd7e2cdfec0d0cb8136c9179e3d4be677a348
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toby Samuelof Daniel Rincon, Toby Samuel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,820 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Daniel Rincon | 13c | 11,417$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.23 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1391…1119backed Daniel Rincon | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Toby Samuel | 72c | 4,706$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.35 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Toby Samuel | 76c | 3,225$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.71 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Daniel Rincon | 35c | 3,195$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.65 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Daniel Rincon | 24c | 1,240$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Toby Samuel | 65c | 1,095$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.35 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Daniel Rincon | 27c | 1,093$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Daniel Rincon | 28c | 1,053$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.65 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Daniel Rincon | 15c | 1,050$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toby Samuel | 76c | 1,049$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.44 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…df9ebacked Daniel Rincon | 10c | 1,006$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Daniel Rincon | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Toby Samuel | 79c | 789.37$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.95 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Daniel Rincon | 9c | 782.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Daniel Rincon | 7c | 608.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daniel Rincon | 27c | 600.96$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.26 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…f4cabacked Daniel Rincon | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Daniel Rincon | 4c | 420$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Toby Samuel | 73c | 413.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.43 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Toby Samuel | 73c | 408.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Toby Samuel | 68c | 400$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Daniel Rincon | 14c | 359.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Daniel Rincon | 31c | 311.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daniel Rincon | 30c | 306.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked Daniel Rincon | 26c | 295.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Toby Samuel | 65c | 271.14$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Toby Samuel | 67c | 251.19$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 331 | 49.2%163 W · 168 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Daniel Rincon | 28c | 223$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toby Samuel | 68c | 219.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Toby Samuel | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Toby Samuel | 71c | 205.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Daniel Rincon | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Daniel Rincon | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…4df5backed Daniel Rincon | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Daniel Rincon | 28c | 165.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Daniel Rincon | 20c | 165$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Daniel Rincon | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Daniel Rincon | 26c | 142$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Toby Samuel | 72c | 141$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Toby Samuel | 71c | 139.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…05e2backed Toby Samuel | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Daniel Rincon | 27c | 133.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Daniel Rincon | 29c | 121$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Toby Samuel | 66c | 116.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toby Samuel | 78c | 115.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daniel Rincon | 29c | 106.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Daniel Rincon | 19c | 102.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Toby Samuel | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Daniel Rincon | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Toby Samuel | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Daniel Rincon | 27c | 96.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674c…6dabbacked Toby Samuel | 72c | 94.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Toby Samuel | 76c | 71.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Toby Samuel | 70c | 70.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…1bd7backed Toby Samuel | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 109 | 67.9%74 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Toby Samuel | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Toby Samuel | 74c | 67.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Daniel Rincon | 26c | 61.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Daniel Rincon | 29c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Daniel Rincon | 28c | 50.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Toby Samuel | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Daniel Rincon | 28c | 49.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Toby Samuel | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Toby Samuel | 72c | 41.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Toby Samuel | 72c | 36.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…2f76backed Toby Samuel | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Toby Samuel | 68c | 25.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Toby Samuel | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Toby Samuel | 80c | 18.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Toby Samuel | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hersonissos 2: Daniel Rincon vs Toby Samuelthis page
- Daniel Rincon vs. Toby Samuel: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Rincon vs. Samuel: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Rincon vs SamuelSamuel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.