Tennis · resolved market
Austin: Sinja Kraus vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0822ca8f107b7a38372497fb7580b4e257771e812d27d5a9b03605cc25cb9d73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinja Krausof Sinja Kraus, Oksana Selekhmeteva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,590 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sinja Kraus | 50c | 1,783$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.69 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Sinja Kraus | 29c | 1,400$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.99 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 44c | 1,295$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Sinja Kraus | 47c | 945.26$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.99 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 38c | 831.91$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.34 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 71c | 743.46$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.86 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 3c | 666$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Sinja Kraus | 73c | 516.83$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 41c | 480.86$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sinja Kraus | 58c | 388$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.06 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sinja Kraus | 56c | 387.85$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 48c | 377.84$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.53 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Sinja Kraus | 28c | 268$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.53 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Sinja Kraus | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sinja Kraus | 58c | 261.19$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.61 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 50c | 255.37$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.79 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 41c | 241.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sinja Kraus | 37c | 218.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Sinja Kraus | 22c | 217$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.26 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 65c | 211.06$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Sinja Kraus | 35c | 188.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.44 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 71c | 180$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 47c | 128.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Sinja Kraus | 44c | 111.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Sinja Kraus | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Sinja Kraus | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sinja Kraus | 41c | 97.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 71c | 93.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…1bd7backed Sinja Kraus | 63c | 79.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 109 | 67.9%74 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 71c | 77.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…d5d0backed Sinja Kraus | 74c | 75.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 247 | 62.3%154 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Sinja Kraus | 44c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sinja Kraus | 48c | 67.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Sinja Kraus | 44c | 62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Sinja Kraus | 42c | 57.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Sinja Kraus | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Sinja Kraus | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sinja Kraus | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 46c | 48.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 59c | 38.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 68c | 37.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 70c | 31.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 70c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sinja Kraus | 36c | 28.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 76c | 27.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sinja Kraus | 38c | 27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Sinja Kraus | 61c | 24.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Oksana Selekhmeteva | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 127 | 65.4%83 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Oksana Selekhmeteva | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austin: Sinja Kraus vs Oksana Selekhmetevathis page
- Kraus vs. Selekhmeteva: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Kraus vs. Selekhmeteva: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Kraus vs. Selekhmeteva: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Kraus vs SelekhmetevaKraus won
- Sinja Kraus vs. Oksana Selekhmeteva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.