TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Mavericks, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,030

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,821 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x873c…ac48backed Raptors0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Raptors1c20,537$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.822832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Raptors21c11,154$2,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34313920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Mavericks74c7,100$5,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8468561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors6c6,600$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.3765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors24c4,193$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.7477745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Mavericks78c3,819$2,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.0715056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors6c3,646$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.741,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb370…0cb0backed Mavericks75c2,868$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.016450%32 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Raptors16c2,789$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.5329043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ff…d1cbbacked Mavericks77c2,418$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Mavericks77c2,334$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.741,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec2…826bbacked Raptors23c2,111$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.425820.7%12 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e4…f310backed Raptors15c2,026$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Raptors9c1,961$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors24c1,788$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4213,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Raptors24c1,641$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.7846131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Mavericks77c1,602$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.319137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Mavericks77c1,540$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.26167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Mavericks77c1,501$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.5219642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8bc…51fdbacked Raptors23c1,418$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.22742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c81…3620backed Raptors3c1,190$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors24c1,047$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.461,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Raptors24c1,023$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0485347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Mavericks77c1,020$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.5912154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Raptors7c1,000$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6933258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Raptors25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x242c…c63fbacked Raptors23c999.95$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed Raptors23c899.99$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2077741.6%32 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Raptors2c893.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.919724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Raptors21c891.5$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2270147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Mavericks76c835.92$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.6216242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Raptors14c822.76$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1949849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors11c815.11$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.641,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors17c673.97$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.891,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Raptors10c669.16$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706030%18 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8734…2e6cbacked Mavericks76c667$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.081250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Mavericks78c666.67$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6711447.4%54 W · 60 L-11.8wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3106…4a1fbacked Raptors22c666.67$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.671428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Raptors23c635.81$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2475347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Mavericks75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506768.7%46 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Raptors23c585.64$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1111143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Raptors22c549.89$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9822053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Raptors12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6023835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Raptors24c460$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.421649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7cb6…8f8bbacked Raptors23c434.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f86…3a77backed Mavericks79c434.24$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.342842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Raptors17c424.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1120233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Raptors11c418.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7939843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x420f…e3f4backed Mavericks76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3df…c273backed Raptors23c399.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid+64.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Raptors3c390.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17e6…9641backed Raptors24c378.57$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x846f…56debacked Raptors24c375$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Mavericks80c370$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6814560.7%88 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors18c369.93$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5972341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Mavericks76c334.5$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1629148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Mavericks77c324.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6818666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Raptors25c306.44$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6130954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Raptors11c253.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6911235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors22c249.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.996,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Raptors25c243.52$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8826933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Raptors23c204.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1685542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Mavericks76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4823548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Mavericks78c200$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4525651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Raptors23c191.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4418628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b3b5backed Raptors16c160$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.64436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Mavericks77c158.66$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.666167.2%41 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Raptors23c134.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4811150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Mavericks77c130.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6516440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc14…373bbacked Raptors22c121$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc52…8ffcbacked Mavericks78c121$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+149.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Mavericks76c120$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.988053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Mavericks76c118.42$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4224462.3%152 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Raptors20c111.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3624549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39bd…1027backed Raptors13c111.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed7…e62bbacked Mavericks78c106.04$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.332065%13 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cba…6de1backed Raptors22c103$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338a…48dbbacked Mavericks78c103$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+57.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1b…75d8backed Raptors25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257653.9%41 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a80…6c31backed Mavericks76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f0…b777backed Raptors23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb48d…9f73backed Mavericks77c98.65$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.692748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Mavericks76c97.29$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3540448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Raptors24c92.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2945251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Raptors23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015940.3%64 W · 95 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Raptors24c85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.417244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Raptors24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010147.5%48 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c1…301fbacked Raptors25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick33cpaid+69.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f30…52f3backed Mavericks78c74$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.285100%5 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9633…6a4bbacked Mavericks78c71.78$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd64e…99b5backed Raptors23c71.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e8b…4f21backed Mavericks78c70$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.412841.4%53 W · 75 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…2f6cbacked Mavericks75c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.55954.2%32 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b14…2a35backed Raptors23c69.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b96…8c3ebacked Mavericks80c67.87$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf06b…4fe2backed Mavericks78c66$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+159.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3255…9e31backed Raptors22c66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b0…b02dbacked Mavericks76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.791241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.