Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Arizona State Sun Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe360e9bdb1cd944442ecd12d4483dedf8efb085632925bd640ab130b9873aafa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona State Sun Devilsof Santa Clara Broncos, Arizona State Sun Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 48c | 9,544$4,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,991.22 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Santa Clara Broncos | 54c | 3,293$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Santa Clara Broncos | 11c | 2,138$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.79 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Santa Clara Broncos | 55c | 1,571$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Santa Clara Broncos | 9c | 1,400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Santa Clara Broncos | 54c | 1,317$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.85 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 52c | 1,014$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.37 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 28c | 900$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 78c | 895$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.32 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Santa Clara Broncos | 7c | 770$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 49c | 490.67$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.67 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 55c | 478.25$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.04 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 52c | 476.85$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.67 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 4c | 450$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 70c | 411.37$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.41 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 52c | 399.1$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.75 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 10c | 354.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.93 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 47c | 299.79$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.37 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Santa Clara Broncos | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Santa Clara Broncos | 54c | 271.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.36 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Santa Clara Broncos | 6c | 269.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 52c | 268.2$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Santa Clara Broncos | 18c | 252.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 31c | 205.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.62 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 65c | 203.62$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.77 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Santa Clara Broncos | 6c | 195.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Santa Clara Broncos | 27c | 172.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 60c | 171.6$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 53c | 171.13$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Santa Clara Broncos | 55c | 170.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 46c | 155.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 78c | 136.41$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 36c | 129.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Santa Clara Broncos | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Santa Clara Broncos | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 47c | 78.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…bd4bbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 22c | 60.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 28c | 59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Santa Clara Broncos | 50c | 44.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 72c | 41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd636…0b90backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 36c | 40.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Santa Clara Broncos | 58c | 39.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 57c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 80c | 25.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Santa Clara Broncos | 54c | 22.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 71c | 20.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…0b04backed Santa Clara Broncos | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.