TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Pelicans, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,098
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,528

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,098 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans18c17,166$3,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,127.233,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans20c15,535$3,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,118.1265642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Spurs68c15,308$10,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,962.3949849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pelicans28c14,149$3,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,975.1170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Pelicans41c11,698$4,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,740.7515056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f4…bc4fbacked Spurs72c9,887$7,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,767.111526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-62.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans24c9,567$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,334.771,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Spurs61c7,512$4,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,925.223835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Spurs74c6,547$4,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.171,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Pelicans44c6,415$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,801.4721649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Spurs68c5,372$3,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.048561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc233…f731backed Spurs67c4,453$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans12c4,079$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Spurs73c4,000$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09036057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Pelicans39c3,165$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.9319137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Pelicans41c2,706$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.9423646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Pelicans5c2,391$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5711459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans31c2,249$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.611,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Spurs69c2,053$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.4337448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans31c1,899$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.981,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Pelicans28c1,488$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.5633752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Pelicans28c1,388$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.530351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Pelicans28c1,341$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.4911143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Pelicans27c1,312$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.0129043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Pelicans6c1,279$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2945135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f82…d8c7backed Pelicans47c1,279$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009735.1%34 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Spurs40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75027739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…d647backed Spurs75c1,125$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.455658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pelicans20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc58…c1b6backed Spurs76c1,000$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Pelicans34c999.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9916242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Spurs79c967$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.079035.6%32 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Spurs62c808.21$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.218548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Pelicans34c794.59$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.7319642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Pelicans29c709.01$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.0511150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Pelicans19c699.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13626547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Spurs68c679.31$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3876249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Pelicans7c678.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0937627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16fd…5b47backed Pelicans8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75da…4688backed Pelicans31c620$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.41435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec2…826bbacked Spurs72c617.69$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.955820.7%12 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Pelicans29c585.3$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9445251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8c1…06cebacked Spurs72c500.47$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.133125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdefe…bdb8backed Spurs72c500.05$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.584725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Pelicans31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15515234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Spurs73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1356768.7%46 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe433…47d1backed Spurs72c499.97$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Pelicans6c422.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2418518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4968…9519backed Pelicans5c415$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Spurs55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18026431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Pelicans24c399.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9618044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1edd…f21ebacked Pelicans33c399.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.994835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Pelicans29c380$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.86634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Spurs50c359.97$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9916553.9%89 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa319…bd72backed Pelicans41c346$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.86922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Pelicans24c306.64$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.321338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Spurs66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0334169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4884…9cf8backed Pelicans38c302.16$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.044341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b3b5backed Spurs58c286$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.124436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Pelicans29c284.55$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8317244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Spurs72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.787363%46 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Pelicans20c269.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6911235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5a…a3bdbacked Pelicans30c266.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Pelicans38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans31c250$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Spurs72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.31,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef8…1f8dbacked Pelicans7c250$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.55714%8 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c4…b001backed Pelicans37c243.51$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x220d…085bbacked Pelicans37c243.24$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Spurs73c231.8$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.581,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf33…4eacbacked Pelicans6c222$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.326426.6%17 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans34c209.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.572341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Pelicans12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2448137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7679…8c3abacked Spurs67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6611849.2%58 W · 60 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Pelicans35c199.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9922053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Spurs55c190$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.711258.9%66 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pelicans32c184.74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3988053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Spurs71c173.49$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3126933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee8…d3fcbacked Spurs71c153.9$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16d6…c556backed Pelicans9c153.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.23145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13d0…e3dcbacked Spurs65c153.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.013745.9%17 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x39bd…1027backed Spurs65c152.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.734346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2487…6530backed Pelicans34c150.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc54…aad2backed Spurs66c150.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.03650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Spurs67c148.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6510147.5%48 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Spurs72c144.66$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.51,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f05…8ad8backed Spurs72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Spurs72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.897263.9%46 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Pelicans11c127.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56dd…5d25backed Spurs66c126.47$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8598…0d42backed Spurs71c125.89$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aee…7556backed Pelicans36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2369…a116backed Spurs64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Pelicans8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf27a…1d05backed Pelicans12c118$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.161926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f5…5cbebacked Spurs64c109$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb30…cafebacked Pelicans36c109$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Spurs77c107.77$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1161532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Spurs65c100.63$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.227452.7%39 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Spurs57c100.26$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6625957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.