College Football · resolved market
Oklahoma vs. Alabama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb42da151e88e939efc6279e16d96c2ed562b705c037c2a5be5a2331ce23d3584
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahomaof Oklahoma, Alabama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Oklahoma | 36c | 7,029$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,523.88 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Oklahoma | 13c | 1,951$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.22 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +324.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Alabama | 70c | 1,868$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Oklahoma | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Alabama | 44c | 909.04$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb67…970abacked Oklahoma | 47c | 705.61$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.82 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Alabama | 45c | 515.84$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Alabama | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Oklahoma | 46c | 368.85$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…d8c0backed Alabama | 64c | 347.58$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Oklahoma | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…5998backed Alabama | 70c | 298.33$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.63 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Oklahoma | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Oklahoma | 16c | 255$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…c3e4backed Oklahoma | 67c | 210$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Oklahoma | 14c | 181.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.7 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40df…ea9abacked Alabama | 14c | 180$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…1a6dbacked Oklahoma | 45c | 177.76$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3411…08a1backed Alabama | 68c | 127.22$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Alabama | 30c | 97.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Oklahoma | 19c | 71.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Oklahoma | 65c | 64.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…db81backed Oklahoma | 41c | 61.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da4…1e19backed Alabama | 66c | 24.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.