Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ukraine beat Georgia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8234112d55c26222cb91d986476895a9e7055ed4d4a0fd4d095c020b042d700
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 47c | 4,042$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.05 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 56c | 4,000$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed No | 36c | 2,500$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 43c | 2,139$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.23 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…b403backed Yes | 45c | 1,120$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 46c | 1,090$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 71c | 433.8$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 55c | 309.33$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 70c | 242.35$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…6770backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…5bbabacked Yes | 45c | 193.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa240…a10ebacked No | 58c | 186.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146b…2e37backed No | 57c | 124.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc34…464ebacked Yes | 46c | 96.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…3147backed No | 56c | 93.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…15a7backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 56c | 66.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4437…503ebacked No | 57c | 48.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0d…6559backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f77…70a1backed No | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Yes | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Yes | 46c | 39.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7ef9backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e3…0546backed No | 57c | 32.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed No | 56c | 22.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…71f4backed Yes | 70c | 17.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ukraine beat Georgia?this page
- Will Georgia beat Ukraine?No won
- Will the match between Ukraine and Georgia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.