TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Canadiens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Sabres, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,306 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Sabres10c23,084$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.4432331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres0c11,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Sabres6c6,908$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.55633.9%19 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens51c5,902$2,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.571,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9e…f27abacked Canadiens51c4,303$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,108.462669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c40…583bbacked Sabres49c4,300$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1071338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Sabres47c4,287$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.8836242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sabres27c2,373$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.191,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Sabres45c2,062$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.6992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac9…9678backed Canadiens53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9404847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Sabres45c1,957$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.6529847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sabres16c1,147$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.763,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Sabres7c1,141$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8021620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Canadiens53c1,134$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.714252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Sabres49c1,000$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Canadiens51c999.91$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9685148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Sabres50c914.74$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.3221048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Sabres50c900$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.844650%23 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Canadiens51c899.58$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.795757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabres50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Sabres48c799.99$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38431849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Sabres51c795.93$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4057044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres49c779.04$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.21,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Canadiens55c725.45$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.452948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Sabres48c710.11$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.8522842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres49c704.99$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.4572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28870249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Sabres45c573.96$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.8449351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37b…3802backed Canadiens53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Canadiens50c460$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2306050%30 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c7…8371backed Sabres49c432.78$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3dde…6b67backed Sabres49c362.44$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.154235.7%15 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2d86…f0bbbacked Canadiens51c311.24$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbaa…8f36backed Canadiens52c309.62$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+125.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac37…b425backed Sabres49c307.76$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+50.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Sabres5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525.8%3 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Canadiens56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13227958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x020f…8357backed Canadiens55c290.91$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d42…9b05backed Canadiens54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.781656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sabres46c258$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6260549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sabres49c234.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1475155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70d7…b45abacked Canadiens51c225.49$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2322…619fbacked Sabres50c225.4$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Sabres57c222$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.496465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63d8…b86abacked Canadiens52c213.08$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x512f…7e0bbacked Sabres50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83e0…f27abacked Sabres50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Sabres46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca7…75fabacked Sabres50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6111…a445backed Sabres50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2536…44abbacked Sabres50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7010…afd2backed Sabres50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d04…d8a3backed Sabres50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe36…d180backed Sabres50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Canadiens49c199.94$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9716554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1106…a85abacked Sabres50c198.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6225…f83bbacked Canadiens51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef3…a2b8backed Canadiens51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3def…1d6dbacked Canadiens51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x083e…967cbacked Canadiens51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18f…2d4ebacked Canadiens51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2062…f7cdbacked Canadiens52c193.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de6…ab57backed Canadiens52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x917d…8dbabacked Canadiens52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…5d2dbacked Canadiens52c192.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.013100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Canadiens55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Sabres49c175.64$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8616437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4d…52e9backed Sabres49c169.39$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e20…fd40backed Sabres25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed Canadiens51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.866246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb2…317bbacked Canadiens52c155$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb303…205bbacked Canadiens51c147.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Sabres9c144.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3958467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Canadiens51c141.18$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1820540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0717…cda4backed Sabres50c139.12$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Canadiens36c132.09$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5418237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x8941…8cc6backed Canadiens52c126.44$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Canadiens64c125.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5611365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1715…ab3ebacked Canadiens52c109.85$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6388…7622backed Canadiens52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.775100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c52…42efbacked Sabres50c103.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.59728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x589c…e3e6backed Sabres50c101.26$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Canadiens52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4828542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Canadiens54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4846…4f12backed Sabres50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6229…0967backed Canadiens51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7ef…ac6dbacked Canadiens51c99.86$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.93616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x488b…80b5backed Sabres50c97.56$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Canadiens51c97.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1218452.2%96 W · 88 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201f…b735backed Canadiens52c96.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.54785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+61.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Canadiens52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2a6…b0d4backed Canadiens51c95.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+67.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea4…4bf3backed Canadiens53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8659…9178backed Canadiens54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.596041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e8e…21a3backed Sabres49c92.45$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8459…1b3cbacked Canadiens51c91.69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…45e8backed Sabres49c89.73$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.971250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x648b…e0e5backed Sabres48c89.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd176…3db6backed Canadiens56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Canadiens54c88.89$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8921255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.