NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x358045affce65d40786d5fd3d60f76d00a9f7f7efb389f47a36c2f163cc3247b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Pelicans, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $316,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 9c | 31,730$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.19 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans | 2c | 22,846$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.18 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Pelicans | 12c | 22,440$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.34 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc8…d62fbacked Pelicans | 12c | 10,022$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d41…0389backed Pelicans | 12c | 10,006$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…8ce0backed Pelicans | 12c | 10,002$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Pelicans | 2c | 6,505$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Pelicans | 22c | 6,228$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.84 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Pelicans | 8c | 5,995$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Pelicans | 9c | 5,602$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 2c | 5,384$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Pelicans | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pelicans | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pelicans | 9c | 4,976$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.86 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Pelicans | 11c | 4,694$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.32 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Pelicans | 9c | 4,299$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.09 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…5c4cbacked Pelicans | 3c | 3,800$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans | 9c | 3,566$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.6 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16e…4076backed Pelicans | 10c | 3,430$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Pelicans | 12c | 3,234$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…dfd1backed Pelicans | 3c | 3,040$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Pelicans | 18c | 2,803$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Pelicans | 6c | 2,750$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans | 9c | 2,668$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.11 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pelicans | 11c | 2,587$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.21 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pelicans | 2c | 2,450$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Pelicans | 9c | 2,375$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.75 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pelicans | 5c | 2,287$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.33 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans | 11c | 1,759$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pelicans | 10c | 1,479$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.91 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Pelicans | 5c | 1,447$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Pelicans | 8c | 1,352$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans | 4c | 1,349$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Pelicans | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Pelicans | 5c | 1,225$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Pelicans | 8c | 1,216$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de9…02a3backed Pelicans | 12c | 1,108$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Pelicans | 4c | 1,050$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pelicans | 10c | 1,040$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Pelicans | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Pelicans | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Pelicans | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Pelicans | 4c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Pelicans | 10c | 955.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.74 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pelicans | 11c | 864.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed Pelicans | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pelicans | 10c | 716.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Pelicans | 3c | 660$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Pelicans | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Pelicans | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Pelicans | 12c | 499.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Pelicans | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0f…0536backed Pelicans | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…a18bbacked Pelicans | 10c | 280.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…1f60backed Pelicans | 15c | 256.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Pelicans | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Pelicans | 6c | 242.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e57…55b7backed Pelicans | 7c | 236.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pelicans | 9c | 210.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Pelicans | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Pelicans | 8c | 200.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Pelicans | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Pelicans | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Pelicans | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 634 | 45.1%286 W · 348 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Pelicans | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Pelicans | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Pelicans | 10c | 161.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pelicans | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a15…d19bbacked Pelicans | 11c | 147.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7e…54ddbacked Pelicans | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pelicans | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…3f66backed Pelicans | 9c | 120$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…e4e8backed Pelicans | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c02…b4d4backed Pelicans | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 336 | 39%131 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…4366backed Pelicans | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…c4bdbacked Pelicans | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Pelicans | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Pelicans | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…46b2backed Pelicans | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.