UFC · resolved market
Romious vs. Lee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14d2b89e1924a2cac98e0b866309bd67e848827e160be38206c2ca72741476dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leeof Romious, Lee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lee | 58c | 6,041$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.07 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Romious | 42c | 4,584$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.77 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Romious | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Romious | 39c | 3,593$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.37 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Lee | 61c | 3,435$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.41 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Lee | 62c | 1,703$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…7f5abacked Lee | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Lee | 61c | 1,477$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.05 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Romious | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Romious | 41c | 1,375$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.74 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lee | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Romious | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Romious | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Lee | 57c | 995.91$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.24 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Romious | 39c | 978.44$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.4 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Romious | 6c | 861.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Romious | 32c | 667.41$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Romious | 40c | 588.22$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.28 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Lee | 59c | 559.32$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.32 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…3600backed Lee | 61c | 547.97$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.71 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Lee | 59c | 516.13$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.61 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Lee | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Romious | 43c | 437.51$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.13 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Romious | 42c | 334.84$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Romious | 37c | 326.54$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…983cbacked Lee | 50c | 312.22$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.11 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Romious | 43c | 284.18$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Romious | 43c | 280$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Lee | 59c | 252.52$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Romious | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa193…cf8cbacked Romious | 19c | 211.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Romious | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Lee | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Romious | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Lee | 60c | 166.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Lee | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…bc7fbacked Lee | 61c | 162.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Romious | 40c | 158.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Romious | 39c | 152$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Romious | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Romious | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Romious | 41c | 106.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Lee | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Romious | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7384…1ebdbacked Romious | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -68%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Lee | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Romious | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Lee | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…aa53backed Lee | 59c | 83.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…dadfbacked Romious | 40c | 71.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…0249backed Lee | 61c | 70.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Lee | 67c | 67.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe565…de35backed Lee | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…f372backed Romious | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Romious | 42c | 58.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaed0…1976backed Lee | 60c | 57.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Lee | 59c | 57.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Lee | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Lee | 58c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Lee | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2832…3d70backed Lee | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476f…1b29backed Romious | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…5bd0backed Lee | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d2…a2a8backed Romious | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc063…99cfbacked Romious | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32dc…cac5backed Romious | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…f179backed Lee | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0de3…05cdbacked Romious | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…31ecbacked Lee | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…eb1bbacked Romious | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…2e8ebacked Lee | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…e021backed Romious | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b27…3870backed Lee | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284c…23e3backed Romious | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…418abacked Lee | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…1c1fbacked Lee | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58bd…56e7backed Romious | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Romious | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Romious | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Romious | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Lee | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Lee | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…c345backed Romious | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…a1d4backed Lee | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4612…f8dfbacked Lee | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae52…563cbacked Romious | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…6541backed Lee | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf1…4830backed Lee | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…77cbbacked Lee | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2f…730cbacked Lee | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ea…3ac9backed Romious | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…ae31backed Romious | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9274…076fbacked Lee | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…968dbacked Romious | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f2…9378backed Romious | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…c0f6backed Lee | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Lee | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a0…cc23backed Lee | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…dababacked Romious | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…654abacked Romious | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Romious vs. Leethis page
- Belbita vs. BarbosaBarbosa won
- Demopoulos vs. AlencarAlencar won
- Emmett vs. MurphyMurphy won
- Finney vs. ValentinFinney won
- Henry vs. FalcaoHenry won
- McKee vs. FrunzaMcKee won
- Osbourne vs. GuruleOsbourne won
- Sabatini vs. BritoSabatini won
- Tavares vs. MeerschaertTavares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.