UFC · resolved market
Tavares vs. Meerschaert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x988af63b3566b4e061557fac10dcb918e6858612ddf0ed78a82cea9d6a46f4b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tavaresof Tavares, Meerschaert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2066…80dcbacked Tavares | 67c | 52,500$35,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,325 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…4102backed Meerschaert | 33c | 52,500$17,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,325 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44c…c458backed Tavares | 61c | 40,722$24,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,881.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…cca0backed Meerschaert | 39c | 40,722$15,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,881.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tavares | 58c | 4,500$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.99 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Meerschaert | 28c | 2,546$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Meerschaert | 42c | 2,377$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Meerschaert | 40c | 1,573$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.41 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Tavares | 62c | 1,523$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Meerschaert | 35c | 1,072$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.98 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Meerschaert | 19c | 1,028$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Meerschaert | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Meerschaert | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Meerschaert | 25c | 948.25$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.7 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Tavares | 60c | 921$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.4 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Meerschaert | 40c | 912.31$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Meerschaert | 24c | 728.19$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Tavares | 60c | 666$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…983cbacked Meerschaert | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Meerschaert | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Tavares | 59c | 339.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.33 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…3600backed Tavares | 59c | 334.59$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.82 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…6179backed Tavares | 61c | 322.75$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Meerschaert | 36c | 274.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Tavares | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Meerschaert | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tavares | 57c | 201.27$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Tavares | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Meerschaert | 38c | 192.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Tavares | 60c | 184.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7384…1ebdbacked Meerschaert | 28c | 175$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -68%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Tavares | 60c | 151.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Meerschaert | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Meerschaert | 40c | 148.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…aa53backed Meerschaert | 40c | 122.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Meerschaert | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Tavares | 62c | 106.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Tavares | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Meerschaert | 40c | 99.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Meerschaert | 38c | 82.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Tavares | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Tavares | 57c | 78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Tavares | 75c | 69.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe266…add3backed Tavares | 60c | 65.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…624bbacked Meerschaert | 39c | 64.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4146…01a2backed Meerschaert | 39c | 61.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Meerschaert | 33c | 60.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Meerschaert | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Meerschaert | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc063…99cfbacked Meerschaert | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32dc…cac5backed Meerschaert | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ad…8be9backed Meerschaert | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…6867backed Tavares | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Tavares | 60c | 44.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…e797backed Meerschaert | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e4…befdbacked Meerschaert | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x774e…de4bbacked Tavares | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…3cefbacked Tavares | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8630…0f08backed Meerschaert | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…ea91backed Meerschaert | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2e…4291backed Tavares | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Tavares | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…7d88backed Tavares | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Tavares | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…dadfbacked Meerschaert | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Meerschaert | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Tavares | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe242…142fbacked Tavares | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386b…5b1cbacked Meerschaert | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e9…fde6backed Meerschaert | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2b…8f6dbacked Meerschaert | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc673…261bbacked Tavares | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3b…c72dbacked Tavares | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…6e3bbacked Meerschaert | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…3a96backed Tavares | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Tavares | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Tavares | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Tavares | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Tavares | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Tavares | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…18cabacked Tavares | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…cbaabacked Tavares | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…9219backed Tavares | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc3…6b1fbacked Tavares | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…c012backed Tavares | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f0…ce30backed Tavares | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5b…e549backed Tavares | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…ee38backed Tavares | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2b…a4eebacked Tavares | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…6880backed Tavares | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cea…e9e2backed Tavares | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4772…5bd1backed Tavares | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…8090backed Tavares | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3376…30c2backed Tavares | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…cf8abacked Tavares | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…0670backed Tavares | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tavares vs. Meerschaertthis page
- Belbita vs. BarbosaBarbosa won
- Demopoulos vs. AlencarAlencar won
- Emmett vs. MurphyMurphy won
- Finney vs. ValentinFinney won
- Henry vs. FalcaoHenry won
- McKee vs. FrunzaMcKee won
- Osbourne vs. GuruleOsbourne won
- Romious vs. LeeLee won
- Sabatini vs. BritoSabatini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.