NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x730ef00060d0585f59fcb75c2109ae4d0a440302ebb9866a3e342da4a68d1149
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Sabres, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Oilers | 71c | 20,668$14,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,957.83 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Sabres | 29c | 8,669$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.12 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Sabres | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Sabres | 16c | 4,990$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.4 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Sabres | 28c | 2,905$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.51 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sabres | 15c | 2,794$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.9 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Sabres | 29c | 2,222$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.49 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Sabres | 7c | 1,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…c613backed Sabres | 31c | 863.69$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.7 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Sabres | 29c | 781.96$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.77 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sabres | 29c | 777$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.33 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oilers | 69c | 668$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.08 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Oilers | 71c | 634.72$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.21 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Sabres | 41c | 626.07$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.17 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…61b5backed Oilers | 68c | 515.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres | 31c | 505$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.91 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.39 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 29c | 462.01$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sabres | 24c | 452.41$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9b…331dbacked Oilers | 69c | 450.02$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…1674backed Oilers | 69c | 400.93$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1c…56edbacked Sabres | 31c | 350.96$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 22c | 328.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e8…6022backed Oilers | 70c | 322.15$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…8181backed Sabres | 30c | 322.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Sabres | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Sabres | 32c | 292.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1354…318ebacked Oilers | 70c | 284.93$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Oilers | 71c | 279.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659b…3a97backed Sabres | 31c | 272$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Sabres | 29c | 259$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…bc13backed Oilers | 62c | 240.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Sabres | 11c | 222.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sabres | 30c | 211.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Sabres | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers | 68c | 199.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Oilers | 71c | 197.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7a…dc19backed Sabres | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…4d73backed Sabres | 54c | 184.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…ba27backed Sabres | 36c | 184.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…fd12backed Sabres | 31c | 179.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Oilers | 70c | 177.83$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Oilers | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…e26fbacked Oilers | 69c | 145.81$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…a85cbacked Oilers | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed Oilers | 55c | 102.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Sabres | 30c | 101.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…3413backed Oilers | 70c | 100.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…9547backed Oilers | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Sabres | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0b2bbacked Sabres | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Sabres | 33c | 99.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Oilers | 70c | 98.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Oilers | 68c | 95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Sabres | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Oilers | 71c | 87.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccc9…7a15backed Oilers | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3726backed Oilers | 76c | 80.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Sabres | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Sabres | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Oilers | 58c | 68.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Sabres | 30c | 65.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Sabres | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Oilers | 68c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…d92abacked Sabres | 31c | 47.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…3607backed Oilers | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Sabres | 38c | 31.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701a…3fc2backed Oilers | 71c | 30.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed Sabres | 53c | 29.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…bb83backed Oilers | 70c | 20.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1665…a0bebacked Oilers | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.