WNBA · resolved market
Dream vs Liberty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dd7952e89b219cdfc70b36f008967613f0d63ab59e71f4e849c1e7c1be20206
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Libertyof Dream, Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Dream | 23c | 2,050$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.5 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Dream | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Liberty | 74c | 1,353$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.5 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Liberty | 76c | 1,003$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.72 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Liberty | 77c | 867$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Liberty | 75c | 643.7$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.21 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Liberty | 75c | 490$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.83 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Dream | 22c | 452.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dream | 23c | 433.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dream | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Liberty | 52c | 327$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.01 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Dream | 33c | 323.15$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Liberty | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Liberty | 54c | 272.81$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.04 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Liberty | 75c | 243.75$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Dream | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Liberty | 64c | 117.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Liberty | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Liberty | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Liberty | 76c | 91.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Dream | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Liberty | 13c | 88.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Dream | 73c | 60.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Dream | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Liberty | 59c | 17.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…b64ebacked Liberty | 79c | 12.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.