Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7184a20da94f25251c67b59cc092c7205c0fa138fdf3f0f96c531aac6880d285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 20c | 1,973$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.81 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 80c | 1,480$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.24 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Yes | 79c | 257.55$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6484…8864backed Yes | 79c | 251.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 21c | 251.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 26c | 248$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 25c | 149.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…513bbacked Yes | 75c | 133.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 74c | 125$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 23c | 120.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 25c | 102.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…bc8cbacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0a6dbacked Yes | 79c | 36.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf7…abaabacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2025-10-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.