La Liga · resolved market
Will Mallorca win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea7ce583907175cb8d7ba71c21afcfb6f70fc63d71420f2dc24447d665835ee6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 35c | 19,993$6,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,995.45 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 5,056$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.9 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 64c | 3,500$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 62c | 2,716$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.43 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,680$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.32 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed No | 35c | 1,300$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 37c | 993$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.59 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 65c | 967.27$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 54c | 900$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 23c | 897.14$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.83 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 61c | 732$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.74 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 48c | 417.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 68c | 252.68$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 36c | 249.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed No | 49c | 205$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 36c | 190$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 62c | 179.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 37c | 168.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 29c | 157.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 60c | 130.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 126.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 38c | 110.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 19c | 105.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Yes | 69c | 88.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…4f7cbacked No | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…1871backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 62c | 79.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 67c | 77.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 67c | 73.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 47c | 69.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…b427backed Yes | 72c | 69.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…51a0backed Yes | 74c | 54.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 64c | 45.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…4838backed No | 38c | 44.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 65c | 43.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed No | 28c | 41.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f45…5e8fbacked Yes | 35c | 30.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…4837backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…28cebacked Yes | 46c | 29.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 36c | 28.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…2068backed Yes | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb3…8b32backed No | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b60…5593backed Yes | 65c | 18.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb9…3864backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mallorca win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Getafe win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will Mallorca vs. Getafe end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.