La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Villarreal (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd29f1a84d1c8fc200717e56a450ca94157cf4829812c24bbc3e5b0cdc05d8252
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mallorcaof Villarreal, Mallorca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58c7…8726backed Villarreal | 8c | 17,620$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Mallorca | 55c | 2,535$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.85 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Villarreal | 40c | 1,631$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.07 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Mallorca | 70c | 871.67$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.77 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Villarreal | 42c | 599.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Mallorca | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Villarreal | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Villarreal | 46c | 436.96$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3919…3f50backed Mallorca | 58c | 281.29$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed Mallorca | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mallorca | 58c | 224.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Villarreal | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mallorca | 57c | 199.25$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.23 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Villarreal | 28c | 166.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Villarreal | 41c | 134.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Villarreal | 46c | 129.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Villarreal | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed Villarreal | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Villarreal | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed Villarreal | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Villarreal | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Villarreal | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ff26backed Villarreal | 33c | 49.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Mallorca | 54c | 45.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Villarreal | 45c | 43.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Villarreal | 45c | 42.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Villarreal | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6881…525dbacked Villarreal | 46c | 29.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Villarreal | 42c | 29.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Villarreal (-1.5)this page
- Villarreal vs. Mallorca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal vs. Mallorca: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal vs. Mallorca: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.