Spread: Bournemouth (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf434436e181c985ac68bb0a30f39f8cb9421a53f20efd5574caefdd280510a47

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: West Hamof Bournemouth, West Ham
Resolved: Nov 22, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,891 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb7b3…9573backed West Ham	69c	800$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248	98	43.9%43 W · 55 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Bournemouth	31c	500.07$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.04	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Bournemouth	32c	295.56$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.53	370	36.2%134 W · 236 L	-18.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed West Ham	69c	200$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed West Ham	71c	121.31$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.74	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bournemouth	32c	111.51$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.21	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Bournemouth	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	50	38%19 W · 31 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Bournemouth	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed West Ham	73c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	214	63.1%135 W · 79 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Bournemouth	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Bournemouth	33c	44.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34da…367fbacked West Ham	68c	37$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.84	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1d…1d22backed West Ham	67c	29.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4022…f352backed West Ham	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9c…598dbacked West Ham	68c	16.98$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.43	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdfb…b890backed West Ham	68c	15.68$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.02	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Bournemouth (-1.5)this page
Bournemouth vs. West Ham: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Bournemouth vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Bournemouth (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event