Premier League · resolved market
Bournemouth vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64c17328fbc477b020a95429a9dbde0d835099621d862cd3951bb6288e0ac1ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 27,231$10,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,583.51 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Over | 66c | 15,200$10,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,168 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 57c | 10,186$5,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,423.53 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719f…db30backed Under | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…429abacked Over | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.85 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…106dbacked Over | 57c | 3,186$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 56c | 2,659$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.96 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 46c | 2,191$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Over | 56c | 1,470$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.12 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…cecebacked Over | 59c | 854.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 43c | 786.41$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.71 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 784.35$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.66 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 56c | 417.25$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.59 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Under | 43c | 231.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 43c | 213.48$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.38 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 44c | 200.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 58c | 170$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 55c | 109.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 43c | 100.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 44c | 78.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 41c | 71.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12db…7275backed Over | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 55c | 63.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12dd…1aacbacked Over | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Over | 59c | 50.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…1cb5backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 56c | 32.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 57c | 29.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…b890backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…d6d7backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bournemouth vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5this page
- Bournemouth vs. West Ham: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: Bournemouth (-1.5)West Ham won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.