Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5b6d43edd5f961c6cb52d037e8ae7b3be1f2534dd35ee7d2548932375301fce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Racing Club de Lensof Racing Club de Lens, FC Lorient
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Racing Club de Lens | 43c | 3,843$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed FC Lorient | 57c | 2,555$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.03 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Lorient | 59c | 2,276$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.31 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked FC Lorient | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Racing Club de Lens | 38c | 172$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed FC Lorient | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c84…1093backed FC Lorient | 58c | 86.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…60a7backed Racing Club de Lens | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Racing Club de Lens | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked FC Lorient | 61c | 39.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Racing Club de Lens | 47c | 24.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.