AI · resolved market
DeepSeek removed from App Store before March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x229670f8f6aa2d5515d9f9b3e21b21a436b4eafcc70ed450e85762dac4c57f2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf43…6a1cbacked Yes | 9c | 9,490$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f9…4cdbbacked Yes | 5c | 8,655$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…dcc9backed Yes | 5c | 5,912$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +167.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…ffd8backed Yes | 2c | 5,127$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 8c | 4,368$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.63 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 3c | 4,113$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 3,999$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 105 | 1.9%2 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 1c | 3,492$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed Yes | 14c | 3,487$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,440$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.97 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…edb1backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…986fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,912$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ab…ecf7backed Yes | 9c | 1,271$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1766…5705backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…e2ffbacked Yes | 5c | 1,100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 7c | 812.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 11c | 812$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fac…574ebacked Yes | 12c | 802.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4643…26c9backed Yes | 14c | 784.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed Yes | 2c | 773.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 7c | 677.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5d…278abacked Yes | 13c | 532.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 4c | 507.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 6c | 485.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…cf8dbacked Yes | 3c | 453.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 7cpaid | +236.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…4a7dbacked Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 7c | 397.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…38d9backed Yes | 12c | 353.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771a…096fbacked Yes | 9c | 346.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…1493backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…b119backed Yes | 8c | 257$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744a…64f4backed Yes | 4c | 234.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked Yes | 6c | 230.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…8cd9backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…1f27backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…1aa4backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked Yes | 7c | 159.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…1158backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8e…794abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…bd2fbacked Yes | 9c | 118$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdccc…3ac3backed Yes | 9c | 112.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…39cfbacked Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 13c | 96.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.