Movies · resolved market
Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7c2bd28e76e5ebc693e968b38fd7e3a389b96e91f929b9c8c0527e078825529
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00c8…e4c8backed No | 64c | 1,435$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed No | 32c | 1,147$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.04 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…8e1ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,029$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed Yes | 68c | 960$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed No | 47c | 818$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.61 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a64bbacked Yes | 36c | 734$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked Yes | 36c | 701$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…a2debacked Yes | 53c | 665$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…7f30backed No | 53c | 536$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.08 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…cdd7backed No | 59c | 534.61$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 53c | 493$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.29 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 52c | 314.67$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 23c | 299.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…7da2backed No | 15c | 250$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 10c | 249.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 47c | 217.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.31 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…8a5abacked Yes | 68c | 197.78$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d03…ef8ebacked Yes | 68c | 187$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 23c | 175$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 108 | 14.8%16 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…c67bbacked No | 40c | 174.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 56c | 102.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…fb45backed Yes | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 49c | 26.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.