Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 15?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8212e7d8cc4f67360ac162801c8dfbe263f88c6e0b9554eab42383feeefec0d5

Rebuilt 49 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,401
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $19,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,401 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd251…4d37backed Yes	43c	1,441$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.53	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x044f…d1f1backed No	58c	1,070$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.38	327	48.6%159 W · 168 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes	6c	479.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.2	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	58c	479.53$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.94	884	48.5%429 W · 455 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c63…93d4backed Yes	40c	459.96$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.47	441	38.1%168 W · 273 L	+27.8wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ff2…f140backed Yes	38c	397.11$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	237	23.2%55 W · 182 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	63c	360.21$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.11	235	51.9%122 W · 113 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked No	61c	327.82$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.58	120	55.8%67 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	56c	326$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.79	399	52.4%209 W · 190 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda91…d760backed Yes	18c	307.31$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.73	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fbd…a959backed Yes	38c	287.51$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.05	392	31.9%125 W · 267 L	+22.5wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+24%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bee…7e78backed Yes	5c	266.43$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.99	128	16.4%21 W · 107 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+67.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed No	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.42	136	46.3%63 W · 73 L	-10.5wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f88…cdcbbacked Yes	64c	239.99$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.9	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes	40c	227.42$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.79	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e5…e283backed No	63c	203.53$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.07	50	54%27 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No	57c	202$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.86	145	21.4%31 W · 114 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e5…bf21backed No	58c	200$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.38	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ec…5946backed Yes	38c	197.34$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2612…5289backed Yes	23c	196.8$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.98	218	44%96 W · 122 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4079…7126backed No	60c	190$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.7	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd0…cd07backed No	57c	188$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.84	144	54.2%78 W · 66 L	-9.8wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x070f…e902backed Yes	20c	183.38$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.38	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa95e…a8edbacked Yes	41c	176.73$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.99	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb88…5d8ebacked Yes	48c	167.51$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.06	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc1…647abacked Yes	35c	159.99$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.93	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes	15c	149.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.84	169	34.9%59 W · 110 L	+11.4wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80f5…2b27backed Yes	15c	149.91$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.24	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes	16c	148.6$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.38	221	11.3%25 W · 196 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf73f…ee53backed No	61c	142.19$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.46	120	40.8%49 W · 71 L	+10.2wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f74…8774backed Yes	37c	134.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a5…0a36backed No	52c	129.83$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.08	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes	39c	128.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c48…6b72backed Yes	41c	123.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-24%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	57c	121$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.03	323	54.2%175 W · 148 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	64c	120$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.21	360	55.3%199 W · 161 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x445f…229fbacked Yes	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbec…808bbacked Yes	42c	118.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	76	23.7%18 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	58c	115$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.33	311	52.4%163 W · 148 L	-12.4wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34f…7d2ebacked No	48c	113.9$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.12	406	48.8%198 W · 208 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes	49c	111.77$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.71	93	37.6%35 W · 58 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x267d…ed00backed Yes	47c	110.59$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.76	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.35per pick	49cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb615…62b9backed No	59c	106.71$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.45	36	69.4%25 W · 11 L	+4.8wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x515f…a606backed No	63c	104$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.48	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	71c	102.52$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.22	183	48.6%89 W · 94 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0bd…bc96backed Yes	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35fb…8511backed Yes	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38e2…2909backed Yes	42c	99.27$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.27	181	58%105 W · 76 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d85…726fbacked No	68c	95.38$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.36	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+3.7wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x073e…8416backed Yes	42c	92.12$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.6	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	31c	83.87$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.87	246	37.4%92 W · 154 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	59c	79.5$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.91	1,318	43.9%579 W · 739 L	-26.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No	76c	77.37$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.71	168	52.4%88 W · 80 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a84…171fbacked Yes	22c	76.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.11	107	33.6%36 W · 71 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68db…44f0backed Yes	19c	76.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.62	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes	36c	76.63$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.69	183	42.6%78 W · 105 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes	47c	75.68$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.48	126	40.5%51 W · 75 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9379…1145backed Yes	52c	74$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No	60c	73.06$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.1	133	48.1%64 W · 69 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d8…b90dbacked No	50c	71.59$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.73	131	55.7%73 W · 58 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedbd…dd60backed No	54c	71.17$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.52	157	66.2%104 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb58…407abacked Yes	34c	71.15$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.48	148	27%40 W · 108 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d77…a694backed No	60c	70$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	50	66%33 W · 17 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	40c	69$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.33	230	44.8%103 W · 127 L	+11.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7956…eba5backed Yes	39c	68.06$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.66	84	38.1%32 W · 52 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cbe…e435backed Yes	37c	67.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf9…878ebacked Yes	49c	66.75$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.68	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb49f…1821backed Yes	45c	66.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes	42c	64.41$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.87	89	37.1%33 W · 56 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes	44c	62.34$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.15	186	38.2%71 W · 115 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	52c	62$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.76	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No	52c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	218	54.6%119 W · 99 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	56c	60$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.1	263	55.9%147 W · 116 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x508d…791abacked No	58c	60$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6606…0195backed Yes	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa8c…9169backed Yes	46c	56.62$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.9	133	57.1%76 W · 57 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ad…69f5backed No	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes	39c	51.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+4.6wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No	64c	50.06$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.92	162	54.3%88 W · 74 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d1d…9e61backed No	55c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.7	144	67.4%97 W · 47 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb139…29a1backed Yes	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	122	38.5%47 W · 75 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ccc…61dfbacked Yes	45c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.3	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86c2…8010backed No	44c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Yes	68c	49.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.99	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	66c	48.31$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.6	343	54.8%188 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28ea…7367backed Yes	43c	48.14$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	88	65.9%58 W · 30 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9cc…59abbacked No	51c	47.04$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.05	51	70.6%36 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	69cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc3…3472backed No	53c	45$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.2	120	55%66 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No	48c	43.33$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.36	149	54.4%81 W · 68 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0838…64f6backed Yes	35c	42.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes	44c	42.09$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.49	186	62.4%116 W · 70 L	+13.0wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No	57c	42.01$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.9	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d0…d991backed Yes	25c	41.96$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.67	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1894…a936backed Yes	34c	41.53$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.92	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+16%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5589…a3fabacked No	61c	40.79$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.91	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36f7…4a5abacked Yes	43c	40$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac22…363ebacked Yes	43c	38.79$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.55	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.22per pick	41cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7adc…a971backed Yes	38c	38.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes	38c	38.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 15?this page
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on July 15?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?Yes won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 15?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 15?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 15?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event