Premier League · resolved market
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8514f9f641ab5143c7d71be900bba269d5d51e885d773ba7103d0ac328b65bee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 7,395$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.51 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 3,995$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.62 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 47c | 2,807$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.1 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 50c | 2,321$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.34 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 51c | 1,700$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 51c | 693$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.43 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 54c | 458.7$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 184.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Over | 72c | 139.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 123.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 34c | 110$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…b8e6backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 47c | 82.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 50c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2f…6645backed Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 559 | 55.1%308 W · 251 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 55c | 26.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 51c | 23.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 51c | 20.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Charlton Athletic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.