Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Lorient vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb44db102394b74534b743794c2f00c0a812457ae929f77d3db61157e0266d076
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 46c | 36,995$17,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,017.49 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773e…6884backed Under | 54c | 15,370$8,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,070.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 54c | 10,705$5,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,917.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 24c | 9,702$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.91 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 9,509$7,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.17 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 57c | 5,900$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.86 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803e…b070backed Under | 54c | 5,650$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…0c2ebacked Under | 54c | 3,148$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Over | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.01 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 47c | 3,027$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 54c | 2,648$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 52c | 1,624$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.16 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…80f7backed Over | 47c | 1,028$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Under | 54c | 985.19$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 44c | 491.64$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.32 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 67c | 442.41$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.59 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Over | 45c | 412.28$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.52 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 323$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 32c | 285$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 51c | 252.34$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.65 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 50c | 248$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 237.73$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.87 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 47c | 237.66$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 53c | 220.73$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Under | 54c | 207.96$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 49c | 150.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…3914backed Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 72c | 67.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 49c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 47c | 51.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd560…ee17backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…481abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Over | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…c836backed Over | 52c | 35.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0a…266fbacked Over | 47c | 31.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 49c | 23.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 74c | 19.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Lorient vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Lorient vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Lorient vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Lorient vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.