Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Lorient vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x853615e435f3cd8397ca11488bda231b669901eed5abe9a2703c3ced8663d571
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 8,635$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,016.53 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 6,951$3,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.21 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 42c | 1,688$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.59 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 4c | 571$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 23c | 310$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 68c | 71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 51c | 62.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 28c | 54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…205dbacked Over | 32c | 46.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 28c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 54c | 26.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec67…c2a6backed Over | 61c | 17.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 76c | 14.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Over | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Lorient vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Lorient vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Lorient vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Lorient vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.