College Football · resolved market
Spread: Clemson (-41.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35cf3f9db7eeb3da8017ed1884f7df4335f3b6f84f6ec52a24b0127ca56d6297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Furman Paladinsof Clemson, Furman Paladins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clemson | 51c | 730.16$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.81 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Clemson | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Furman Paladins | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Furman Paladins | 49c | 494.59$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.24 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Furman Paladins | 50c | 214$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Furman Paladins | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clemson | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…e59abacked Clemson | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Furman Paladins | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Clemson | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Clemson | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clemson (-41.5)this page
- Furman Paladins vs. ClemsonClemson won
- Furman Paladins vs. Clemson: O/U 54.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.