CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91e5a180686ba603ee889b35efae1ddb05830a706c7aafaf81f3b7ec257bd31d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof RED Canids, Galorys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,569 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked RED Canids | 71c | 1,326$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.54 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Galorys | 29c | 1,036$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.46 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galorys | 46c | 707.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed RED Canids | 77c | 646.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.29 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Galorys | 21c | 617.24$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.74 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…e45fbacked RED Canids | 66c | 608.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed RED Canids | 40c | 569.98$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.99 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Galorys | 41c | 567.39$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.75 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Galorys | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Galorys | 40c | 470.15$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed RED Canids | 40c | 460.28$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.21 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RED Canids | 60c | 458.45$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.01 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…cbdabacked RED Canids | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed RED Canids | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Galorys | 30c | 323.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Galorys | 27c | 291.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…a27ebacked Galorys | 37c | 273.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…0d85backed Galorys | 51c | 258.41$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Galorys | 32c | 249.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f00…425fbacked Galorys | 71c | 224.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Galorys | 30c | 210$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Galorys | 18c | 177.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked RED Canids | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked RED Canids | 73c | 154.42$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Galorys | 30c | 151.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked RED Canids | 75c | 143.06$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed RED Canids | 72c | 136.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Galorys | 60c | 125.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Galorys | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed RED Canids | 64c | 116.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -15.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Galorys | 34c | 116.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked RED Canids | 79c | 114.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f4…32eabacked RED Canids | 66c | 106.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…d0afbacked Galorys | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Galorys | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…f731backed Galorys | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked RED Canids | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Galorys | 27c | 98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RED Canids | 44c | 96.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed RED Canids | 69c | 94.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231d…4bdfbacked Galorys | 26c | 92.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed RED Canids | 62c | 83.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed RED Canids | 69c | 82.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Galorys | 27c | 79.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked Galorys | 40c | 75.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed RED Canids | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Galorys | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Galorys | 16c | 64.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Galorys | 23c | 63.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…e7e3backed Galorys | 32c | 62.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galorys | 45c | 59.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…1721backed RED Canids | 55c | 59.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713c…b373backed RED Canids | 66c | 56.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…c7d1backed RED Canids | 54c | 53.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Galorys | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Galorys | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Galorys | 35c | 49.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Galorys | 31c | 47.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed RED Canids | 30c | 46.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Galorys | 46c | 40.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Galorys | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Galorys | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Galorys | 31c | 36.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked RED Canids | 72c | 34.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked RED Canids | 72c | 33.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked RED Canids | 52c | 30.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x484b…db0abacked Galorys | 54c | 25.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked RED Canids | 65c | 23.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x66d6…4bc9backed Galorys | 72c | 22.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Galorys - Map 1 WinnerGalorys won
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Galorys - Map 2 WinnerRED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.