Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf27336a1dc9b891a5906ef11d6f1fb9c688eddb9c875a4407722a6145577669d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 5c | 5,250$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.49 | 182 | 38.5%70 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 75c | 1,599$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.04 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 5c | 1,520$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 11c | 1,453$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.19 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Under | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 70c | 1,111$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.3 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 16c | 727.08$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 5c | 707.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 4c | 475.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 504 | 50%252 W · 252 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 29c | 371.61$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Over | 70c | 342.87$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Under | 9c | 313.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Over | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 9c | 169.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…efffbacked Over | 70c | 77.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 27c | 52.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 31c | 38.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…4a14backed Over | 79c | 18.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)West Ham United FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.