Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb8726f9e1fd025cf4f574138104a2aaad375bd7050c7aa8245c3512d89e4617
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 37c | 10,077$3,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,728.44 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c37…0631backed Under | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 26c | 2,390$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.53 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 4c | 1,084$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 37c | 1,020$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.6 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Under | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 5c | 861.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 34c | 599.58$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.86 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 6c | 567.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 12c | 548.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 63c | 530$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.1 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 35c | 422$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.7 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 35c | 349.2$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 63c | 319.25$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 36c | 215.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 63c | 199.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 13c | 181.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…6eebbacked Under | 64c | 78.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 70.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 35c | 62.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 63c | 59.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Over | 38c | 47.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 63c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 64c | 30.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 65c | 28.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 62c | 27.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 63c | 26.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…530dbacked Under | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae40…9edabacked Under | 65c | 17.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)West Ham United FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.