CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x932ca68b17eef0ee58cb828dda6b889068a2c370a9ea8d7013d9842ecd892743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Isurus, Yawara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Isurus | 37c | 2,175$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.72 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yawara Esports | 55c | 1,876$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.39 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Isurus | 42c | 1,473$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.2 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yawara Esports | 71c | 850.49$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.9 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…d07ebacked Isurus | 41c | 722.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.55 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Isurus | 44c | 643.31$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.96 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Isurus | 25c | 558.36$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.62 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yawara Esports | 68c | 387.96$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.92 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yawara Esports | 60c | 345.46$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.22 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yawara Esports | 61c | 332$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.26 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yawara Esports | 49c | 248.95$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Isurus | 25c | 243$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yawara Esports | 63c | 233.95$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yawara Esports | 71c | 203.6$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yawara Esports | 75c | 169$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Isurus | 33c | 143$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked Yawara Esports | 39c | 129.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yawara Esports | 58c | 123.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yawara Esports | 53c | 122$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Isurus | 42c | 111.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yawara Esports | 59c | 68.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Isurus | 38c | 68.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Isurus | 22c | 64.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…44bcbacked Yawara Esports | 61c | 64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yawara Esports | 63c | 61.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Isurus | 27c | 39.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Isurus | 27c | 38.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Isurus | 36c | 32.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Isurus | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yawara Esports | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Isurus | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group StageYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 WinnerYawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.