Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8bc5b669bc8357c2cdb5504a364114197de9829fe7842e535aa2f32c010fdf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakult Brothersof Vici Gaming, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 13,367$5,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,716.07 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 12,998$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 9,525$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,572.09 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 5,050$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.68 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 4,066$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.48 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Vici Gaming | 25c | 2,724$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.68 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Yakult Brothers | 56c | 2,574$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.49 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 1,201$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.58 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Yakult Brothers | 48c | 1,200$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.86 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 1,107$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.28 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 970$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Yakult Brothers | 74c | 888.45$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.17 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Yakult Brothers | 75c | 758.72$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.72 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yakult Brothers | 53c | 684.86$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.27 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 591.7$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.59 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 586.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Yakult Brothers | 67c | 582.76$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.85 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 578$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.38 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 564.73$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.96 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 530.03$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.73 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 495.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.72 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yakult Brothers | 68c | 467.22$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vici Gaming | 63c | 432.26$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 425.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 399.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 372.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…f0f9backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 330.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…e5bcbacked Vici Gaming | 6c | 312.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 270.09$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.46 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d6…c414backed Yakult Brothers | 70c | 257.14$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yakult Brothers | 79c | 254.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…44bcbacked Yakult Brothers | 71c | 252.49$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 232.56$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 225.16$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yakult Brothers | 56c | 209.63$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yakult Brothers | 60c | 209.61$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893e…9868backed Vici Gaming | 10c | 203$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 202.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 154.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 153$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Vici Gaming | 61c | 153$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Yakult Brothers | 73c | 143.82$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Vici Gaming | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Vici Gaming | 64c | 120.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 111.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Vici Gaming | 28c | 107.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 88.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yakult Brothers | 45c | 86.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Yakult Brothers | 61c | 74.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 68.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 50.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…fab6backed Vici Gaming | 23c | 49.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Yakult Brothers | 64c | 39.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Yakult Brothers | 54c | 38.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Yakult Brothers | 65c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yakult Brothers | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 16.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China PlayoffsVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.