Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f42a32b2dfb177d01d126ab1109502f68e2929f6d8f2623e7f714232aeea0de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 65c | 10,916$7,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.52 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 5,338$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.54 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 3,060$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.38 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 2,880$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.55 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yakult Brothers | 33c | 1,948$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.76 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 1,839$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.98 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Yakult Brothers | 14c | 1,711$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.11 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Yakult Brothers | 15c | 1,708$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.82 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Vici Gaming | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.6 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 1,398$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.37 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 1,350$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.37 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yakult Brothers | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vici Gaming | 74c | 1,291$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.93 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 1,280$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.86 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yakult Brothers | 17c | 1,170$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.59 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yakult Brothers | 21c | 1,112$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.62 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 975.97$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.57 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 886.33$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.52 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Vici Gaming | 75c | 772.1$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.21 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Yakult Brothers | 36c | 714.59$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.57 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 689.97$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.59 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Yakult Brothers | 15c | 668.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Yakult Brothers | 18c | 621.2$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.82 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Vici Gaming | 76c | 599.15$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Vici Gaming | 79c | 547.67$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.67 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 470.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 463.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.03 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 455$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked Vici Gaming | 66c | 453.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.67 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e88…697dbacked Yakult Brothers | 3c | 430.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 372.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.64 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 326.47$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 309.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 300.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vici Gaming | 75c | 269.57$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Yakult Brothers | 11c | 223.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…f025backed Vici Gaming | 79c | 222.37$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vici Gaming | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 170.28$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Vici Gaming | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Vici Gaming | 71c | 155.51$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 145.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d6…c414backed Vici Gaming | 77c | 145.77$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Yakult Brothers | 27c | 139.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 117.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Yakult Brothers | 28c | 94.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yakult Brothers | 27c | 84.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yakult Brothers | 16c | 83.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yakult Brothers | 19c | 66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yakult Brothers | 21c | 58.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…25bdbacked Vici Gaming | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 38.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Vici Gaming | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yakult Brothers | 28c | 35.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…4f6bbacked Vici Gaming | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 30.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Vici Gaming | 72c | 23.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked Vici Gaming | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 15.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China PlayoffsVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerYakult Brothers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.