Earnings · resolved market
Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66cb0f5cbfbb888eec1963fd9d8304f6792e27e078fd25d842d32b205e80f89a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked No | 40c | 27,337$10,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,812.44 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 74c | 9,066$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.27 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…4a12backed Yes | 47c | 6,227$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,301.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 44c | 6,093$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.06 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6e…f73dbacked Yes | 71c | 4,000$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…974ebacked Yes | 59c | 1,349$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.35 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed Yes | 68c | 1,157$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.13 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe6…b39ebacked No | 43c | 999.98$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…be7bbacked Yes | 66c | 990.23$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.68 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 70c | 980.4$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.77 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 30c | 923.18$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.47 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 33c | 869.8$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 68c | 868.3$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.14 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 38c | 861$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.73 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 30c | 851.8$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.43 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 32c | 797.9$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.3 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x30aa…2bddbacked Yes | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7323…d0fcbacked Yes | 47c | 595.82$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2d…f033backed Yes | 77c | 516.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 25c | 500$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 61c | 464.15$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.83 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed Yes | 60c | 446.64$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.93 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 39c | 324.11$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.81 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272f…164fbacked Yes | 61c | 305.43$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 33c | 299.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 22c | 286.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…744bbacked No | 37c | 267.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 41c | 251.17$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked Yes | 67c | 243.62$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked No | 38c | 236.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…0cafbacked Yes | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…1456backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Yes | 66c | 196.24$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 24c | 190$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked No | 46c | 181$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ce…85b4backed No | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eaa…721bbacked Yes | 44c | 174.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d7…3499backed Yes | 60c | 167.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed Yes | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 37c | 129.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8070…f56bbacked No | 33c | 120$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 20c | 117.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 17c | 109.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9237…bf00backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…af06backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…a303backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 21c | 99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed No | 55c | 93.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 32c | 90.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…2aaebacked No | 31c | 87.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…53f8backed Yes | 68c | 73.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b58…f7cbbacked No | 28c | 70.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc51…2bedbacked No | 33c | 61.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 46c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a2…be70backed No | 56c | 53.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d5…591bbacked No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e2…73bebacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…ee1dbacked Yes | 39c | 36.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xface…9d17backed Yes | 56c | 33.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f8…6620backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 69c | 27.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7a…925dbacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…f702backed Yes | 73c | 26.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 77c | 25.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…fe6abacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…ede8backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 63cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29e2…fb50backed Yes | 60c | 21.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f81…e93fbacked Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a82…bdc6backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…740fbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…3bc0backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.