Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Katie Swan vs Katrina Scott
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb4272bb8a4b403a4f16a74a5205adc51d1ddcc60a5833b27a7625b17e5deccc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Katie Swanof Katie Swan, Katrina Scott
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf377…4159backed Katrina Scott | 48c | 20,868$10,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,060.75 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Katie Swan | 56c | 14,559$8,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,413.66 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Katie Swan | 56c | 3,978$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.27 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Katrina Scott | 44c | 3,428$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.5 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Katrina Scott | 46c | 2,482$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.36 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Katie Swan | 56c | 1,760$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Katie Swan | 56c | 1,543$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.06 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Katie Swan | 56c | 1,522$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.68 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Katie Swan | 55c | 1,449$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.08 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Katrina Scott | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.89 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Katrina Scott | 44c | 1,227$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.54 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Katie Swan | 73c | 848.46$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.4 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Katie Swan | 58c | 789.23$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.6 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Katrina Scott | 20c | 643.59$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.43 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Katrina Scott | 46c | 622.92$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.54 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Katie Swan | 54c | 526$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.96 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Katrina Scott | 43c | 498.1$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.41 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Katie Swan | 57c | 392.71$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.86 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Katie Swan | 56c | 355.35$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Katie Swan | 56c | 346.56$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.49 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Katrina Scott | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Katrina Scott | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Katie Swan | 53c | 271.48$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Katrina Scott | 44c | 214.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 306 | 48.4%148 W · 158 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Katrina Scott | 45c | 203.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Katrina Scott | 45c | 203.56$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Katrina Scott | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Katie Swan | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Katie Swan | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Katrina Scott | 44c | 199.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Katie Swan | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Katie Swan | 75c | 173$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed Katrina Scott | 16c | 149.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Katrina Scott | 17c | 143.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Katie Swan | 63c | 135.52$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Katie Swan | 72c | 128.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Katie Swan | 55c | 118$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Katrina Scott | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Katie Swan | 58c | 107.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Katie Swan | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Katie Swan | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Katie Swan | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Katie Swan | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Katie Swan | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Katie Swan | 54c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Katie Swan | 54c | 66.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Katie Swan | 68c | 55.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Katie Swan | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Katie Swan | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Katrina Scott | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Katie Swan | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Katie Swan | 54c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Katrina Scott | 44c | 45.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Katie Swan | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Katie Swan | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Katrina Scott | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Katrina Scott | 45c | 43.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Katie Swan | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Katie Swan | 55c | 37.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Katrina Scott | 45c | 36.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked Katie Swan | 60c | 31.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +88%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Katie Swan | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 372 | 66.7%248 W · 124 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Katie Swan | 68c | 29.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Katie Swan | 53c | 28.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Katrina Scott | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Katie Swan | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 284 | 42.3%120 W · 164 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Katie Swan | 66c | 23.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Katie Swan | 78c | 23.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed Katie Swan | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 103 | 95.1%98 W · 5 L | +25.4wins | +0.25per pick | 70cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Katie Swan | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 165 | 88.5%146 W · 19 L | +37.7wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Katie Swan | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification WTA: Katie Swan vs Katrina Scottthis page
- Game Spread: Swan (-1.5) vs Scott (+1.5)Swan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.