South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e5e646c6ff5608d41b00262c3287426d0906c44ee71520d14a76df26ba23e73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cbe…1f4ebacked No | 60c | 18,764$11,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,258.37 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.6wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -70%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 32c | 8,374$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.41 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 5,576$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.4 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 40c | 2,344$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.55 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 1,664$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.34 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 40c | 1,536$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.3 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 40c | 1,339$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.94 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 1,252$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.91 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,239$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.63 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 40c | 909.28$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.57 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 41c | 890$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.1 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 52c | 676.42$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.13 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed No | 63c | 550$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 28c | 493.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 40c | 417$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.2 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 385.65$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.44 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 61c | 325$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed No | 73c | 273.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 44c | 228.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 44c | 228.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 32c | 215.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.35 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 27c | 199.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.89 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 40c | 173$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes | 38c | 159.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 65c | 158.85$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 60c | 138.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…5d2ebacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 59c | 135$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 28c | 130$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.95 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 77c | 129.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 40c | 117.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 67c | 117.31$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Yes | 40c | 116.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 61c | 114.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 40c | 108.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 62c | 97.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 40c | 85.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 27c | 82.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 40c | 78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 61c | 77.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 61c | 76.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 25c | 72.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 26c | 70.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 62c | 69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 30c | 65.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 30c | 60.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 40c | 59.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 41c | 58.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 34c | 58.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Yes | 36c | 55.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 72c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 32c | 52.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…209dbacked No | 60c | 50.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 36c | 32.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 39c | 30.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 78c | 25.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked No | 62c | 25.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe32…960bbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…a164backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Yes | 73c | 22.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 71c | 22.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 62c | 21.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed No | 59c | 18.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 65c | 18.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…a901backed No | 74c | 14.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.