South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x054ce3e90a6d47869fb488903a44b4aca3a05d11f840bf81a9af1552e741bc90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 62c | 8,676$5,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.91 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 8,462$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.96 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 56c | 2,339$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.77 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 1,466$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.87 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 56c | 1,252$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.52 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 33c | 570$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 66c | 499.99$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 39c | 400.23$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.11 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 39c | 390.75$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 331.43$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 303.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 17c | 282.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 40c | 273$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 33c | 119.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 33c | 114.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 58c | 95.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…0f17backed Yes | 32c | 93.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 32c | 74.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 67c | 33.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 50c | 28.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 55c | 24.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-07-30?No won
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.