Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x225bb002f8c33231246b1a3266352cc48a516877afc120d9a2760dc90cf96867
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 1,275$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.21 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 62c | 725.81$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.81 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Under | 38c | 698.61$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.47 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 689.39$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.75 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 48c | 625.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 8c | 365$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 64c | 345.57$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.74 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 319$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Over | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 291.92$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.15 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 41c | 271.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 75c | 226.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 52c | 202$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 198.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 31c | 154.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 58c | 144.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 49c | 138.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 116.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 73c | 110.55$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 62c | 65.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Under | 38c | 63.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Under | 29c | 62.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x899f…3e95backed Under | 26c | 51.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 32c | 36.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f9…2e72backed Over | 68c | 36.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 31c | 36.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 69c | 31.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 31.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…1b67backed Over | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…d3cbbacked Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 59c | 22.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 61c | 20.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 55c | 19.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Taawoun Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Taawoun Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.