Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63975d8d0104bac52b02eb57b270ee71be9e6198374828c5a0abf089c450b85f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed No | 60c | 589.64$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.81 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 48c | 208.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +4,900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 35c | 139.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 37c | 137.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 63c | 117.84$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 38c | 90.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 87.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 69.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 66.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…7b27backed No | 58c | 39.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383e…d998backed Yes | 46c | 32.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…9fe3backed Yes | 50c | 29.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d8…ce90backed No | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…c210backed No | 65c | 24.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce9…22dabacked Yes | 48c | 24.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9012…f7a2backed No | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8153…c43abacked Yes | 48c | 23.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…0e9dbacked Yes | 48c | 23.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89aa…2bf2backed Yes | 48c | 23.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…4fb2backed No | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Taawoun Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Taawoun Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.