TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Taawoun Saudi Clubof Al Hilal Saudi Club, Al Taawoun Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,920 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club49c862.2$424 inLost-$423.961,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club52c576.92$300 inWon+$276.922653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club49c405.74$198 inWon+$207.392360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club45c252$113 inLost-$113.261,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club46c122.65$57 inWon+$65.655349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club55c104$57 inWon+$47.291,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club57c100$57 inWon+$43.3921449.1%105 W · 109 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club58c95$55 inWon+$4039655.8%221 W · 175 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Al Hilal Saudi Club54c65.2$35 inLost-$35.2189955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club29c50.7$15 inLost-$14.714149.6%70 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Al Hilal Saudi Club53c48.59$26 inLost-$25.756259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Al Hilal Saudi Club53c38.64$20 inLost-$20.486355.6%35 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Al Hilal Saudi Club56c35.71$20 inLost-$2015850%79 W · 79 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Al Hilal Saudi Club44c33$15 inLost-$14.5221144.5%94 W · 117 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Hilal Saudi Club39c28.44$11 inLost-$11.195,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed Al Hilal Saudi Club54c27.78$15 inLost-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6681…abc8backed Al Hilal Saudi Club55c18.58$10 inLost-$10.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.