NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe336b6afb2ddf485f5276bc46e47a4d75c244c024f9ffcd2b488489feea29171
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Under | 2c | 6,600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 67c | 2,689$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.9 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 20c | 2,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 33c | 1,831$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.23 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 19c | 1,529$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.04 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 23c | 1,000$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 4c | 802.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Under | 32c | 457.78$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.49 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 12c | 414.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3034…6691backed Under | 4c | 380$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +625.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 32c | 328.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…239fbacked Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69d…7678backed Under | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Under | 20c | 292.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…1b67backed Over | 68c | 257.09$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Under | 20c | 256.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Under | 20c | 212.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Over | 68c | 209$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 52c | 201$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 66c | 162.06$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 33c | 149.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…ca54backed Under | 20c | 124.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f9…0c02backed Over | 68c | 101.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e6…145bbacked Over | 68c | 98.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 68c | 98.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 32c | 94.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 68c | 94.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Over | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…99c2backed Over | 68c | 66.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 31c | 65.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 26c | 63.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 58c | 55.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Under | 27c | 47.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0830…095abacked Over | 69c | 39.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…ed62backed Under | 53c | 38.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 33c | 33.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…ae63backed Under | 34c | 29.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Over | 67c | 29.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 92 | 71.7%66 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0e0fbacked Over | 68c | 29.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1c…aa0abacked Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 72c | 22.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 77c | 19.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.