South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedc170a1fdca92cc688b962743bb2c174c106106cb96defc869ef4684b99b546
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Santos FCof Santos FC, Clube do Remo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Clube do Remo | 64c | 4,320$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.88 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Santos FC | 32c | 3,566$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.1 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Clube do Remo | 68c | 1,707$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.48 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Clube do Remo | 76c | 487.61$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.59 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Santos FC | 32c | 484.49$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.45 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clube do Remo | 65c | 442.54$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.48 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Santos FC | 38c | 433.15$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.14 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Clube do Remo | 68c | 429.5$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.06 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Clube do Remo | 68c | 360.59$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.2 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Santos FC | 35c | 320.54$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.95 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Santos FC | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.87 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Santos FC | 36c | 186.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.67 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Clube do Remo | 68c | 173.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Santos FC | 36c | 171.15$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Santos FC | 33c | 146.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Clube do Remo | 60c | 140.77$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Santos FC | 36c | 137.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Santos FC | 36c | 137.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Santos FC | 36c | 137.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Santos FC | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Santos FC | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Santos FC | 36c | 124.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Santos FC | 36c | 124.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Santos FC | 36c | 124.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Santos FC | 36c | 96.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Santos FC | 36c | 96.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Santos FC | 36c | 96.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Santos FC | 36c | 93.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Santos FC | 36c | 92.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Santos FC | 36c | 89.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Santos FC | 36c | 89.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Santos FC | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Santos FC | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Santos FC | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Santos FC | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Santos FC | 33c | 65.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Santos FC | 36c | 63.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Santos FC | 36c | 59.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Santos FC | 32c | 50.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Santos FC | 28c | 42.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Santos FC | 36c | 40.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Santos FC | 36c | 39.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Santos FC | 40c | 37.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Clube do Remo | 67c | 35.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Santos FC | 35c | 29.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Santos FC | 73c | 24.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5870…276ebacked Clube do Remo | 65c | 18.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)this page
- Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-2.5)Santos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.