South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a60cef7cec067a6c7f5a8b3bcb5065813277ab2b8c4a28d53fa849d85a23c8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 13c | 3,444$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.66 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 1,853$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.73 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 30c | 189.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 70c | 168.84$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Over | 29c | 146.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 9c | 112$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x895c…d405backed Under | 71c | 99.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Over | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 26c | 91.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Over | 16c | 91.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…d2d0backed Over | 21c | 68.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 26c | 65.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 59.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 78c | 58.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Over | 29c | 49.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6c…e9a0backed Over | 29c | 49.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 71c | 34.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 72c | 34.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 80c | 24.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 80c | 24.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…288ebacked Under | 80c | 23.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 79c | 19.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 71c | 18.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 73c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5this page
- Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.