CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4a4a0376f76e6f203dbd84f71fdc9c4955d3020509f1a9eed228191ca30cf5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof 1WIN, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed 1WIN | 0c | 30,172$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 54c | 4,774$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.3 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked 1WIN | 31c | 1,870$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.43 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed 1WIN | 52c | 1,652$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.29 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 62c | 1,328$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 1,066$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.67 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…7bd9backed 1WIN | 48c | 1,004$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.82 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e8…811dbacked 1WIN | 2c | 889.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked 1WIN | 39c | 623.68$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.23 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked 1WIN | 32c | 605.38$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.8 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed 1WIN | 53c | 509.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.29 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed 1WIN | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked 1WIN | 50c | 430.55$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.15 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked 1WIN | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed 1WIN | 47c | 395.32$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.31 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed 1WIN | 56c | 337.32$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked 1WIN | 11c | 335.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Nuclear TigeRES | 74c | 321.33$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0935…d9efbacked 1WIN | 49c | 242.67$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x890e…3548backed Nuclear TigeRES | 77c | 209.47$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuclear TigeRES | 62c | 203.94$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 1WIN | 17c | 171.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked 1WIN | 58c | 149.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nuclear TigeRES | 60c | 132.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Nuclear TigeRES | 76c | 131.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 127.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed 1WIN | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 78c | 126.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed 1WIN | 46c | 104.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked 1WIN | 24c | 104.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 37c | 104.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 42c | 103.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 95.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…3d45backed Nuclear TigeRES | 75c | 91.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87fd…c846backed 1WIN | 47c | 87.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked 1WIN | 18c | 87.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked 1WIN | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…c4b2backed Nuclear TigeRES | 75c | 71.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…939ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 80c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…b08bbacked 1WIN | 63c | 62.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -10.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed 1WIN | 21c | 55.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…496dbacked 1WIN | 28c | 54.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Nuclear TigeRES | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed 1WIN | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked 1WIN | 62c | 48.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 60c | 46.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d58…de06backed Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 44.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…fd19backed Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…1be5backed Nuclear TigeRES | 48c | 41.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed 1WIN | 60c | 39.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 39.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…830ebacked 1WIN | 43c | 27.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 166 | 64.5%107 W · 59 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…a1aebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Nuclear TigeRES | 45c | 25.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Nuclear TigeRES | 75c | 22.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.