TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Detroit Titans vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Detroit Titansof Detroit Titans, Oakland Golden Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe9cb…d096backed Detroit Titans62c3,031$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.9434943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Detroit Titans60c1,426$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.732,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies38c1,329$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.085,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies46c1,230$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.392,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies21c922.02$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.993,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies37c882.86$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.8770936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies63c880.38$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.843,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Detroit Titans47c841.15$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.642540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Detroit Titans26c795.63$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.131,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Detroit Titans23c463.3$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.7455532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies76c443.91$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.7744549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies6c419.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.957646.1%35 W · 41 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f91…1e15backed Detroit Titans41c401.79$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.182560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Detroit Titans37c399.34$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.5612230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies60c396.63$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9915055.3%83 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies21c385.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3612540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa59b…d11ebacked Detroit Titans26c381.45$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.123138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Titans63c340.82$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.377142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Detroit Titans25c298.03$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.522,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies77c260.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.491,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Detroit Titans74c248.4$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.751,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies29c210.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.192,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Detroit Titans60c202.16$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.931,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies47c185.1$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.644,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Detroit Titans25c167.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Titans74c160.92$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.221,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18aa…2287backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies73c154.01$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.431060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Detroit Titans24c148.16$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.311,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies31c145.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1824951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies76c130.07$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8692246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0650…6875backed Detroit Titans57c114.8$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.36683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Detroit Titans55c111.05$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.972,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fbe…993abacked Detroit Titans37c108.17$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.326154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Detroit Titans60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4093247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies14c99.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.945538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Detroit Titans24c99.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.591,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Detroit Titans71c74.87$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…81abbacked Detroit Titans26c67.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.654959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d32…e99ebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies24c63.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies45c61.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.666352.4%33 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Detroit Titans25c52.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1981528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Detroit Titans24c51.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.991,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Detroit Titans59c50.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6713956.8%79 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Detroit Titans48c48.59$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3927055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Detroit Titans58c34.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3615246.7%71 W · 81 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Detroit Titans66c19.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.654,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.